Prospect board, #83 overall
Logan Hensler
Defence, 19.9 years old, Univ. of Wisconsin (NCAA), 6′2″ 192 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
75%
Scouting report
Logan Hensler is a 19-year-old defenceman with Univ. of Wisconsin in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators first-round pick, 23 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 192 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 75% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 7% of a top-pair career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 26 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- Top-pair7%
- Second-pair28%
- Third-pair (most likely)75%
- Tweener88%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#23
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
26 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Univ. of Wisconsin | NCAA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.75 |
| Last season | Univ. of Wisconsin | NCAA | 23 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 0.52 |