Prospect board, #11 overall
Roger McQueen
Centre, 19.9 years old, San Diego Gulls (AHL), 6′5″ 206 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
88%
Scouting report
Roger McQueen is a 19-year-old centre with San Diego Gulls in the AHL, a Anaheim Ducks first-round pick, 10 overall in 2025. He has 3 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 24 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.
At 19.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 206 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a middle-sixer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 88% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 47% of a first-line career and 35% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 59 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite35%
- First-liner47%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)71%
- Fourth-liner88%
- Tweener95%+
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
3 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
24 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+18%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#10
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
59 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 |
| Last season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 |
| Last season | Providence College | NCAA | 36 | 11 | 16 | 27 | 0.75 |