Prospect board, #38 overall
Lynden Lakovic
Left wing, 19.8 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′4″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
68%
Scouting report
Lynden Lakovic is a 19-year-old left wing with Hershey Bears in the AHL, a Washington Capitals first-round pick, 27 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 19.8 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 190 pounds. His most likely outcome is a middle-sixer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 68% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 34% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 51 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite6%
- First-liner34%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)51%
- Fourth-liner68%
- Tweener83%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#27
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
51 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Moose Jaw Warriors | WHL | 22 | 18 | 11 | 29 | 1.32 |