GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #644 overall

Peyton Kettles

Defence, 19.0 years old, Kelowna Rockets (WHL), 6′6″ 186 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

19%

AHLer

Scouting report

Peyton Kettles is a 19-year-old defenceman with Kelowna Rockets in the WHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins second-round pick, 39 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 9 games, 0.44 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 186 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair19%
  5. Tweener37%
  6. AHLer (most likely)62%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.44 P/GP

    1 G, 3 A in 9 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #39

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    21 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKelowna RocketsWHL91340.44
Last seasonKelowna RocketsWHL51230.60