Prospect board, #1343 overall
Sean Barnhill
Defence, 19.7 years old, Michigan State Univ. (NCAA), 6′6″ 209 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
6%
Scouting report
Sean Barnhill is a 19-year-old defenceman with Michigan State Univ. in the NCAA, a New York Rangers third-round pick, 70 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 3 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 4 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 209 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair6%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer39%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 3 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#70
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
26 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Michigan State Univ. | NCAA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Michigan State Univ. | NCAA | 37 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.11 |