GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1937 overall

Arvid Drott

Right wing, 19.1 years old, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL), 6′0″ 183 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Arvid Drott is a 19-year-old right wing with Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL, a Florida Panthers sixth-round pick, 192 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 8 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 183 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer12%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.38 P/GP

    1 G, 2 A in 8 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −8%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #192

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    41 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL81230.38
Last seasonDjurgårdens IFSHL10000.00