GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1259 overall

Tyler Kopff

Centre, 23.4 years old, Rochester Americans (AHL), 6′3″ 216 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Tyler Kopff is a 23-year-old centre with Rochester Americans in the AHL, on the Washington Capitals prospect list. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 30 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 216 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener11%
  6. AHLer46%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.17 P/GP

    1 G, 4 A in 30 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    23.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    27 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonRochester AmericansAHL301450.17