Prospect board, #10 overall
Alexander Zharovsky
Right wing, 19.6 years old, Salavat Yulaev Ufa (KHL), 6′1″ 163 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
84%
Scouting report
Alexander Zharovsky is a 19-year-old right wing with Salavat Yulaev Ufa in the KHL, a Montreal Canadiens second-round pick, 34 overall in 2025. He has 3 goals and 7 assists in 17 games, 0.59 a game, which works out to about 37 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people.
At 19.6 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 163 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a first-liner, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 84% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 56% of a first-line career and 44% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 63 points a season at his best. If the scoring holds up against older players, the first-line odds go up with it.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite44%
- First-liner (most likely)56%
- Middle-sixer57%
- Fourth-liner84%
- Tweener92%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.59 P/GP
3 G, 7 A in 17 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
37 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#34
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
63 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Salavat Yulaev Ufa | KHL | 17 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.59 |
| Last season | Salavat Yulaev Ufa | KHL | 59 | 16 | 26 | 42 | 0.71 |