Prospect board, #107 overall
Charlie Cerrato
Centre, 21.5 years old, Penn State Univ. (NCAA), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
56%
Scouting report
Charlie Cerrato is a 21-year-old centre with Penn State Univ. in the NCAA, a Carolina Hurricanes second-round pick, 49 overall in 2025. He has 7 goals and 20 assists in 23 games, 1.17 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 56% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 9% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 41 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- First-liner9%
- Middle-sixer33%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)56%
- Tweener68%
- AHLer84%
How he got there
1His line
1.17 P/GP
7 G, 20 A in 23 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#49
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
41 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Penn State Univ. | NCAA | 23 | 7 | 20 | 27 | 1.17 |