GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1021 overall

Noah Read

Centre, 19.7 years old, Niagara IceDogs (OHL), 6′0″ 170 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Noah Read is a 19-year-old centre with Niagara IceDogs in the OHL, a Anaheim Ducks third-round pick, 72 overall in 2025. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. At 19.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 170 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener15%
  6. AHLer40%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    3 G, 3 A in 6 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +12%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #72

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL63361.00
Last seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL601111220.37