Prospect board, #1075 overall
Blake Vanek
Right wing, 19.1 years old, Calgary Hitmen (WHL), 6′2″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Blake Vanek is a 19-year-old right wing with Calgary Hitmen in the WHL, a Ottawa Senators third-round pick, 93 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.1 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.28 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener11%
- AHLer48%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 6 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−20%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#93
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Calgary Hitmen | WHL | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Calgary Hitmen | WHL | 69 | 19 | 17 | 36 | 0.52 |