Prospect board, #619 overall
Travis Hayes
Right wing, 19.0 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 5′11″ 171 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
18%
Scouting report
Travis Hayes is a 19-year-old right wing with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins fourth-round pick, 105 overall in 2025. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 11 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 171 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner18%
- Tweener30%
- AHLer (most likely)53%
How he got there
1His line
0.73 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+6%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#105
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Soo Greyhounds | OHL | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.73 |
| Last season | Soo Greyhounds | OHL | 63 | 16 | 24 | 40 | 0.63 |