GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #797 overall

Shea Busch

Left wing, 19.3 years old, Penn State Univ. (NCAA), 6′2″ 208 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

13%

Long shot

Scouting report

Shea Busch is a 19-year-old left wing with Penn State Univ. in the NCAA, a Florida Panthers fourth-round pick, 128 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 19.3 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 208 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner13%
  5. Tweener28%
  6. AHLer45%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +10%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #128

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonPenn State Univ.NCAA30000.00
Last seasonEverett SilvertipsWHL12135181.50