GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #242 overall

John Mooney

Centre, 19.5 years old, Univ. of Minnesota (NCAA), 5′7″ 160 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

35%

Tweener

Scouting report

John Mooney is a 19-year-old centre with Univ. of Minnesota in the NCAA, a Montreal Canadiens fourth-round pick, 113 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 19.5 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-7 and 160 pounds. His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 38 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner6%
  3. Middle-sixer16%
  4. Fourth-liner35%
  5. Tweener (most likely)53%
  6. AHLer76%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 2 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −1%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #113

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of MinnesotaNCAA20000.00
Last seasonUniv. of MinnesotaNCAA34723300.88