Prospect board, #1016 overall
Shamar Moses
Right wing, 19.4 years old, North Bay Battalion (OHL), 6′1″ 200 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
10%
Scouting report
Shamar Moses is a 19-year-old right wing with North Bay Battalion in the OHL, a Florida Panthers fifth-round pick, 129 overall in 2025. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 11 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.38 a game last season. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.80 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 200 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner10%
- Tweener21%
- AHLer34%
How he got there
1His line
0.73 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+25%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#129
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | North Bay Battalion | OHL | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.73 |
| Last season | North Bay Battalion | OHL | 48 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 0.38 |