Maxim Agafonov

Defence, 19.4 years old, Chaika Nizhny Novgorod (MHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Maxim Agafonov is a 19-year-old defenceman with Chaika Nizhny Novgorod in the MHL, a Seattle Kraken fifth-round pick, 134 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 19.4 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
Top-pair<1%
Second-pair2%
Third-pair10%
Tweener18%
AHLer23%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 6 games, MHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#134
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Chaika Nizhny Novgorod	MHL	5	0	0	0	0.00
This season	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	KHL	1	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Toros Neftekamsk	VHL	39	3	4	7	0.18
Last season	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	KHL	1	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Tolpar Ufa	MHL	12	0	3	3	0.25