Mikhail Fyodorov

Right wing, 19.8 years old, Metallurg Magnitogorsk (KHL), 5′11″ 152 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

19%

AHLer

Scouting report

Mikhail Fyodorov is a 19-year-old right wing with Metallurg Magnitogorsk in the KHL, a St Louis Blues fifth-round pick, 147 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 16 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 19.8 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 152 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 7% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite3%
First-liner7%
Middle-sixer9%
Fourth-liner19%
Tweener45%
AHLer (most likely)59%

How he got there

1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 16 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+3%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#147
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	KHL	16	1	3	4	0.25
Last season	Stalnye Lisy Magnitogorsk	MHL	1	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	VHL	4	0	1	1	0.25
Last season	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	KHL	52	7	6	13	0.25