Prospect board, #1934 overall
Ashton Cumby
Defence, 21.2 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′5″ 216 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Ashton Cumby is a 21-year-old defenceman with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL, a Chicago Blackhawks sixth-round pick, 162 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 1 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
At 21.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 216 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair3%
- Tweener4%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 1 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+36%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#162
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Seattle Thunderbirds | WHL | 59 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 0.29 |