Prospect board, #752 overall
Carter Sanderson
Left wing, 19.0 years old, Calgary Hitmen (WHL), 6′2″ 215 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
Carter Sanderson is a 19-year-old left wing with Calgary Hitmen in the WHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins sixth-round pick, 169 overall in 2025. He has 11 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, 2.00 a game, which works out to about 23 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 215 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner12%
- Tweener21%
- AHLer45%
How he got there
1His line
2.00 P/GP
11 G, 3 A in 7 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
23 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#169
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Calgary Hitmen | WHL | 7 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 2.00 |
| Last season | Muskegon Lumberjacks | USHL | 54 | 17 | 17 | 34 | 0.63 |