GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1844 overall

Brendan Dunphy

Defence, 20.6 years old, Univ. of Connecticut (NCAA), 6′5″ 207 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Brendan Dunphy is a 20-year-old defenceman with Univ. of Connecticut in the NCAA, a Florida Panthers seventh-round pick, 197 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster.

It barely moves his projection. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 207 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair3%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer15%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #197

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    24 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of ConnecticutNCAA30000.00
Last seasonUniv. of ConnecticutNCAA372460.16