Prospect board, #1816 overall
Andrew MacNiel
Defence, 19.1 years old, Kitchener Rangers (OHL), 6′2″ 196 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Andrew MacNiel is a 19-year-old defenceman with Kitchener Rangers in the OHL, a Montreal Canadiens sixth-round pick, 189 overall in 2025. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 7 games, 0.14 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 196 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair3%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer12%
How he got there
1His line
0.14 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 7 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+15%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#189
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 |
| Last season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 48 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.15 |