GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1630 overall

Jaxon Fuder

Centre, 20.4 years old, Texas Stars (AHL), 6′0″ 175 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jaxon Fuder is a 20-year-old centre with Texas Stars in the AHL, on the Dallas Stars prospect list. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.

At 20.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 175 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener5%
  6. AHLer18%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 2 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTexas StarsAHL20000.00
Last seasonEdmonton Oil KingsWHL51829370.73