Prospect board, #1205 overall
Ryden Evers
Left wing, 21.2 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′4″ 206 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Ryden Evers is a 21-year-old left wing with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, on the Seattle Kraken prospect list. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
At 21.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 206 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer34%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−17%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Penticton Vees | WHL | 67 | 35 | 39 | 74 | 1.10 |