Prospect board, #997 overall
Nicholas Bogas
Defence, 18.1 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′0″ 183 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Nicholas Bogas is an 18-year-old defenceman with Flint Firebirds in the OHL, a St Louis Blues fifth-round pick, 139 overall in 2026. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 9 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.11 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 183 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair5%
- Third-pair9%
- Tweener17%
- AHLer36%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 5 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+5%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#139
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.67 |
| Last season | U.S. National U18 Team | USNTDP | 37 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.11 |
| Last season | USNTDP Juniors | USHL | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 |