GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #114 overall

Ryder Cali

Centre, 18.0 years old, Providence College (NCAA), 6′2″ 219 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

52%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Ryder Cali is an 18-year-old centre with Providence College in the NCAA, a Florida Panthers second-round pick, 48 overall in 2026. He has 2 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 18.0 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 219 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 52% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 11% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 42 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner11%
  3. Middle-sixer32%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)52%
  5. Tweener68%
  6. AHLer80%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.67 P/GP

    2 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    10 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −1%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #48

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    42 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonProvidence CollegeNCAA32020.67
Last seasonNorth Bay BattalionOHL471620360.77