Prospect board, #163 overall
Jaxon Cover
Right wing, 18.6 years old, London Knights (OHL), 6′2″ 183 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Jaxon Cover is an 18-year-old right wing with London Knights in the OHL, a Ottawa Senators first-round pick, 32 overall in 2026. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 1.17 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 183 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 8% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 38 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- First-liner8%
- Middle-sixer16%
- Fourth-liner43%
- Tweener (most likely)64%
- AHLer94%
How he got there
1His line
1.17 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 6 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#32
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | London Knights | OHL | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1.17 |
| Last season | London Knights | OHL | 67 | 20 | 32 | 52 | 0.78 |