GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1208 overall

Colin Fitzgerald

Centre, 18.5 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 6′3″ 211 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Colin Fitzgerald is an 18-year-old centre with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL, a St Louis Blues seventh-round pick, 203 overall in 2026. He has 5 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.52 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 211 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener12%
  6. AHLer32%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    5 G, 6 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +9%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #203

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    35 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL1156111.00
Last seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL631518330.52