GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #53 overall

Jonas Lagerberg Hoen

Right wing, 18.9 years old, Leksands IF (ALLSVENSKAN), 6′2″ 185 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

57%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Jonas Lagerberg Hoen is an 18-year-old right wing with Leksands IF in the ALLSVENSKAN, a Ottawa Senators first-round pick, 25 overall in 2026. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 4 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 24 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 185 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 57% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 16% of a first-line career and 15% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 54 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite15%
  2. First-liner16%
  3. Middle-sixer50%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)57%
  5. Tweener83%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    1 G, 3 A in 4 games, ALLSVENSKAN

  2. 2League exchange rate

    24 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +3%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #25

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    54 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLeksands IFALLSVENSKAN41341.00
Last seasonLeksands IFSHL20000.00