Adam Nemec

Left wing, 18.9 years old, Brantford Bulldogs (OHL), 6′0″ 173 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

28%

AHLer

Scouting report

Adam Nemec is an 18-year-old left wing with Brantford Bulldogs in the OHL, a Ottawa Senators third-round pick, 72 overall in 2026. He has 2 goals and 14 assists in 18 games, 0.89 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.1 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 173 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 12% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite4%
First-liner12%
Middle-sixer23%
Fourth-liner28%
Tweener45%
AHLer (most likely)69%

How he got there

1His line
0.89 P/GP
2 G, 14 A in 18 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#72
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Sudbury Wolves	OHL	6	2	10	12	2.00
This season	Brantford Bulldogs	OHL	12	0	4	4	0.33
Last season	Sudbury Wolves	OHL	31	14	21	35	1.13