Prospect board, #503 overall
Jayden Kurtz
Defence, 18.7 years old, Chicago Steel (USHL), 6′3″ 194 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
20%
Scouting report
Jayden Kurtz is an 18-year-old defenceman with Chicago Steel in the USHL, a Anaheim Ducks second-round pick, 45 overall in 2026. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 18.7 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 194 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair9%
- Third-pair20%
- Tweener43%
- AHLer (most likely)60%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, USHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#45
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
26 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Chicago Steel | USHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Chicago Steel | USHL | 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.19 |