Prospect board, #2 overall
Chase Reid
Defence, 18.7 years old, Michigan State Univ. (NCAA), 6′3″ 195 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
92%
Scouting report
Chase Reid is an 18-year-old defenceman with Michigan State Univ. in the NCAA, a Seattle Kraken first-round pick, 7 overall in 2026. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 3 games, 1.67 a game, which works out to about 26 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 4 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
At 18.7 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 195 pounds. His most likely outcome is a top-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 92% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 77% of a top-pair career and 48% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 51 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. If the scoring holds up against older players, the top-pair odds go up with it.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite48%
- Top-pair (most likely)77%
- Second-pair81%
- Third-pair92%
- Tweener95%+
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.67 P/GP
1 G, 4 A in 3 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
26 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−7%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#7
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
51 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Michigan State Univ. | NCAA | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1.67 |
| Last season | Soo Greyhounds | OHL | 45 | 18 | 30 | 48 | 1.07 |