GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #65 overall

Liam Ruck

Right wing, 18.6 years old, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL), 6′0″ 181 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

61%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Liam Ruck is an 18-year-old right wing with Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins first-round pick, 22 overall in 2026. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 7 games, 0.86 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 181 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 61% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 11% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 47 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite11%
  2. First-liner15%
  3. Middle-sixer41%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)61%
  5. Tweener74%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.86 P/GP

    2 G, 4 A in 7 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    10 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −6%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #22

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    47 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL72460.86
Last seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL6845591041.53