GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1171 overall

Vilho Vanhatalo

Right wing, 18.7 years old, Tappara U20 (U20 SM-SARJA), 6′3″ 187 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Vilho Vanhatalo is an 18-year-old right wing with Tappara U20 in the U20 SM-SARJA, a Florida Panthers sixth-round pick, 168 overall in 2026. He has 4 goals and 8 assists in 13 games, 0.92 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.43 a game last season.

At 18.7 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 187 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener14%
  6. AHLer33%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.92 P/GP

    4 G, 8 A in 13 games, U20 SM-SARJA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    13 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +9%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #168

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    44 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTapparaLIIGA60000.00
This seasonTappara U20U20 SM-SARJA748121.71
Last seasonTappara U20U20 SM-SARJA38109190.50
Last seasonTapparaLIIGA80110.13