Prospect board, #434 overall
Dylan Hryckowian
Right wing, 22.3 years old, Texas Stars (AHL), 5′10″ 180 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
27%
Scouting report
Dylan Hryckowian is a 22-year-old right wing with Texas Stars in the AHL, on the Dallas Stars prospect list. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.83 a game, which works out to about 27 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 180 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 27% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 34 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer8%
- Fourth-liner27%
- Tweener36%
- AHLer (most likely)68%
How he got there
1His line
0.83 P/GP
3 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
27 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+30%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Texas Stars | AHL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.83 |
| Last season | Texas Stars | AHL | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Northeastern Univ. | NCAA | 30 | 15 | 22 | 37 | 1.23 |