GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #636 overall

Spencer Bowes

Left wing, 19.0 years old, Ottawa 67's (OHL), 6′0″ 172 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

18%

AHLer

Scouting report

Spencer Bowes is an 18-year-old left wing with Ottawa 67's in the OHL, a New York Rangers fourth-round pick, 102 overall in 2026. He has 9 goals and 3 assists in 10 games, 1.20 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.63 a game last season. His team scores 3.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 172 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner18%
  5. Tweener31%
  6. AHLer (most likely)60%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.20 P/GP

    9 G, 3 A in 10 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    14 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +11%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #102

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    34 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonOttawa 67'sOHL1093121.20
Last seasonOttawa 67'sOHL672319420.63