Lavr Gashilov

Centre, 19.0 years old, Avto Yekaterinburg (MHL), 5′11″ 186 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

32%

AHLer

Scouting report

Lavr Gashilov is an 18-year-old centre with Avto Yekaterinburg in the MHL, a New Jersey Devils fourth-round pick, 119 overall in 2026. He has 2 goals and 14 assists in 12 games, 1.33 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people.

At 19.0 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 186 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 32% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 12% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 51 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite8%
First-liner12%
Middle-sixer22%
Fourth-liner32%
Tweener47%
AHLer (most likely)72%

How he got there

1His line
1.33 P/GP
2 G, 14 A in 12 games, MHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#119
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
51 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Avto Yekaterinburg	MHL	12	2	14	16	1.33
Last season	Avto Yekaterinburg	MHL	51	16	53	69	1.35
Last season	Gornyak-UGMK	VHL	2	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	KHL	3	0	0	0	0.00