GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1141 overall

Eric Frossard

Defence, 18.7 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′6″ 206 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Eric Frossard is an 18-year-old defenceman with Guelph Storm in the OHL, a Anaheim Ducks fifth-round pick, 146 overall in 2026. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.53 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 206 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair10%
  5. Tweener15%
  6. AHLer34%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.18 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −21%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #146

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonGuelph StormOHL111120.18
Last seasonGuelph StormOHL5159140.27