Prospect board, #822 overall
Carter Stevens
Right wing, 18.7 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′2″ 195 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Carter Stevens is an 18-year-old right wing with Guelph Storm in the OHL, a St Louis Blues fifth-round pick, 150 overall in 2026. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 11 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. The five best scorers around him average 1.53 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner13%
- Tweener24%
- AHLer45%
How he got there
1His line
0.73 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−18%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#150
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.73 |
| Last season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 53 | 20 | 16 | 36 | 0.68 |