Prospect board, #1498 overall
Luke Wilfley
Centre, 18.2 years old, Portland Winterhawks (WHL), 6′1″ 182 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Luke Wilfley is an 18-year-old centre with Portland Winterhawks in the WHL, a New Jersey Devils sixth-round pick, 172 overall in 2026. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 8 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.23 a game last season. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.61 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 182 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener6%
- AHLer33%
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+33%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#172
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.75 |
| Last season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 66 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 0.23 |