Prospect board, #1288 overall
Alexander Grunin
Defence, 18.2 years old, Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk (MHL), 6′4″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Alexander Grunin is an 18-year-old defenceman with Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk in the MHL, a Ottawa Senators sixth-round pick, 183 overall in 2026. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 3 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 18.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 187 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair7%
- Tweener16%
- AHLer22%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 3 games, MHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#183
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk | MHL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk | MHL | 44 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.34 |