Prospect board, #836 overall
Noah Kosick
Centre, 18.1 years old, Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL), 6′0″ 160 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Noah Kosick is an 18-year-old centre with Seattle Thunderbirds in the WHL, a Anaheim Ducks sixth-round pick, 192 overall in 2026. He has 4 goals and 6 assists in 8 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.78 a game last season. His team scores 2.8 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.73 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 160 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener14%
- AHLer47%
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
4 G, 6 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+26%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#192
2026, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
51 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Seattle Thunderbirds | WHL | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1.25 |
| Last season | Seattle Thunderbirds | WHL | 69 | 16 | 38 | 54 | 0.78 |