GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1035 overall

Ivan Patrikhayev

Defence, 20.6 years old, CSKA Moskva (KHL), 6′0″ 185 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Ivan Patrikhayev is a 20-year-old defenceman with CSKA Moskva in the KHL, a New York Rangers seventh-round pick, 193 overall in 2026. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 8 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 185 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair1%
  4. Third-pair11%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer38%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    0 G, 2 A in 8 games, KHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    16 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #193

    2026, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonCSKA MoskvaKHL80220.25
Last seasonZvezda MoskvaVHL10000.00
Last seasonCSKA MoskvaKHL66310130.20