GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–630.56−3%37%4%<1%Tweener
2Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–530.49+6%33%3%<1%Tweener
3Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–60.67035%2%<1%Tweener
4Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.60−12%29%5%<1%Tweener
5Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–31.00−12%29%3%<1%Tweener
6Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
7Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
8Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
9Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
10Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
11Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
12Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
13Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer
14Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+23%24%2%<1%AHLer?
15Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–50.00−27%18%<1%<1%AHLer
16Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–40.25+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
17Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33024%<1%<1%Long shot?
18Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–30.00017%3%<1%AHLer
19Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT51.00−23%20%1%<1%Long shot
20Blake SmithD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–20.00−21%13%<1%<1%AHLer
21Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%21%<1%<1%Long shot?
22Viliam KmecD, 22. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.60+6%11%<1%<1%AHLer
23Shai BuiumD, 23. Heavy, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−9%14%<1%<1%AHLer
24Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamIowa WildAHL–20.00+24%18%1%<1%Long shot?
25Brayden HislopD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–10.00+36%15%<1%<1%AHLer?
26Chas SharpeD, 22. Steady, HonestToronto MarliesAHL–330.27013%<1%<1%AHLer?
27Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
28Jakub DvořákD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–450.16−2%12%<1%<1%AHLer
29Vinny BorgesiD, 22. Undersized, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–31.33−19%14%<1%<1%Long shot?
30Braden HacheD, 23. Heavy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–60.17−27%10%<1%<1%AHLer
31Joe ArntsenD, 23. Edgy, HeavyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.20−12%11%<1%<1%AHLer
32Radim MrtkaD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyRochester AmericansAHL–60.00−4%15%2%<1%Long shot
33Mikael DiotteD, 23. Carrying a team, HeavyUtica CometsAHLNJD30.00+23%8%<1%<1%AHLer
34Jack MatierD, 23. Big frame, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–240.25−2%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
35Loke JohanssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueProvidence BruinsAHL–40.00+28%15%<1%<1%Long shot?
36Phillip SinnD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
37Jackson EdwardD, 22. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–50.20−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
38Otto SalinD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–430.12−2%10%<1%<1%Long shot
39Tomas CibulkaD, 22. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–50.20012%<1%<1%Long shot?
40Abram WiebeD, 23. Heavy, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.43−16%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
41Tomas LavoieD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.17+2%9%2%<1%Long shot
42Konnor SmithD, 21. Heavy, SteadySan Diego GullsAHL–40.00+9%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
43Artem GrushnikovD, 23. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–550.0403%<1%<1%AHLer
44Boston BuckbergerD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHL–60.33−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
45Rhett ParsonsD, 23. Heavy, SteadyToronto MarliesAHL–80.1308%<1%<1%Long shot?
46Spencer GillD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–60.50−13%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
47Djibril ToureD, 23. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT50.2007%<1%<1%Long shot
48Justice ChristensenD, 21. Young for the league, UndersizedGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.14−9%6%1%<1%Long shot
49Charlie WrightD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–30.00−19%3%<1%<1%Long shot
50Artur CholachD, 23. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–100.20−16%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
51Viking Gustafsson NybergD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN70.14+29%8%<1%<1%Long shot
52Jared WoolleyD, 20. Young for the league, EdgyOntario ReignAHL–30.0006%<1%<1%Long shot
53Connor PunnettD, 23. Steady, HonestTexas StarsAHLDAL180.11+4%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
54Ben DanfordD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−21%7%<1%<1%Long shot
55Charlie ElickD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−13%5%<1%<1%Long shot
56Maleek McGowanD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT10.00−24%6%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.