GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Alexis JosephC, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+17%64%52%40%First-liner
2Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
3Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
4Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
5Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
6Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
7Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
8Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
9Ilya KolmakovLW, 17. Playmaker, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.00−10%39%16%7%Tweener
10James ScantleburyC, 17. Running hot, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.90−10%33%15%4%Tweener?
11Romain LitalienRW, 18. Heavy, SteadyCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–60.50+8%29%14%6%AHLer
12Benjamin VeitchLW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–131.31+4%32%12%6%AHLer
13Loïk GariépyLW, 17. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.64−7%31%10%6%AHLer
14Zakary Horvat-EdouardC, 17. Rising, UndersizedGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–100.50+14%30%12%8%AHLer
15Declan WottonLW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–280.21+44%33%10%6%AHLer?
16Olivers MurnieksC, 18. Steady, HonestSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–310.65+4%27%10%5%AHLer?
17Thomas RousseauC, 18. Edgy, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–100.70−9%26%9%7%AHLer
18Matyas CuttaLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–90.56−21%30%12%7%Long shot?
19Jamie GlanceRW, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–111.36+19%16%13%5%AHLer?
20Chad LygitsakosC, 18. Rising, Running hotShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–101.80+18%28%9%2%AHLer
21Julien BergeronLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–80.25029%13%3%Long shot?
22Enzo LottinRW, 18. Undersized, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–490.86+8%27%8%3%AHLer
23Darcy TerglavC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–110.82−2%19%6%6%AHLer?
24Antoine ProvencherC, 17. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–100.40+5%29%10%2%AHLer
25Dylan DumontRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.55+44%25%9%3%AHLer
26Damien LeducC, 16. Young for the league, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–80.38−13%27%11%2%Long shot?
27Justin GagnonRW, 16. Young for the league, Big frameRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–100.70−22%27%9%4%Long shot?
28Maxim DubéLW, 18. Rising, Carrying a teamGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–101.20+26%24%7%2%AHLer
29Bryce LazareC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.27+44%19%10%4%AHLer?
30Nolann HérouxRW, 17. Rising, UndersizedVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–121.17−10%21%9%3%AHLer
31Philippe VeilleuxLW, 19. Volume shooter, RisingVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–122.25022%7%<1%AHLer
32Dylan RozziLW, 18. Carrying a team, Running hotSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+19%22%6%2%AHLer
33Artem GlukhikhC, 16. Young for the league, UndersizedGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–110.18+11%16%11%2%Long shot?
34Caiden PellegrinoC, 17. Steady, HonestRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–111.55−16%16%7%2%AHLer?
35Elijah SyllaLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–90.33+36%20%5%5%AHLer?
36Louis-Étienne HalleyRW, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–110.91+20%19%5%3%AHLer
37Paul SintschnigLW, 17. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–100.70+5%19%7%4%Long shot?
38Alex DesruisseauxLW, 17. Undersized, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–40.75−22%21%6%3%AHLer
39Louis-François BélangerC, 18. Undersized, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–131.15+6%19%4%2%AHLer
40Liam ArmitRW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.36+44%19%5%4%AHLer
41Korney KorneyevRW, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–91.11+21%19%4%1%AHLer
42Johannes DobrovolnyC, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–100.60+44%19%4%<1%Long shot?
43Alexis GuévinLW, 17. Steady, HonestVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–51.00−9%19%6%3%Long shot?
44Nikita OvcharovRW, 18. Volume shooter, RisingQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.20−17%20%5%2%AHLer
45Max BrienC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.73−21%15%7%3%Long shot?
46Carter MeyerC, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.20−19%18%6%2%Long shot?
47Frédéric BergeronC, 17. Rising, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–81.13+7%21%6%1%Long shot
48Jayden PlouffeLW, 18. Volume shooter, EdgySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.10−7%20%4%1%AHLer
49Samuel RheaultLW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.67+19%17%3%3%AHLer
50Malik TremblayRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–90.00+12%19%7%4%Long shot?
51Maxmilian MaresC, 17. Heavy, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–111.09−18%12%6%3%Long shot?
52Austin HoytC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–70.29+12%17%4%3%Long shot?
53Julien NadeauLW, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–80.50−21%22%3%3%Long shot?
54Andrei MilyayevLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–80.38+15%22%4%3%Long shot?
55Damian NorrisC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–100.10−3%17%9%2%Long shot?
56Matyas CancikC, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.73+12%12%6%2%Long shot?
57Zack ArsenaultRW, 17. Rising, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.73−20%18%5%3%AHLer
58Aslan TremblayC, 16. Young for the league, HeavyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–130.46+8%15%4%3%AHLer?
59Peter LegostaevRW, 18. Steady, HonestGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–120.50+16%15%3%1%Long shot
60Sebastian TaligaLW, 17. Carrying a team, UndersizedDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–100.30+36%16%4%2%Long shot?
61Maxwell BrantonC, 17. Steady, HonestShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–70.29+1%12%8%1%Long shot
62Charles-Antoine ThériaultC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.42−15%14%3%1%Long shot?
63Nathan QuinnC, 19. Volume shooter, SniperQuébec RempartsQMJHL–91.56−13%13%5%<1%AHLer
64Thomas VerdonC, 21. Steady, HonestRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–641.48+9%16%5%<1%AHLer
65Antoine RobichaudLW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–60.33+36%15%5%3%Long shot?
66Alexis DesrochesRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.55−8%10%4%4%Long shot?
67Ilya KuzminykhC, 17. Sniper, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–100.80−7%17%3%<1%Long shot?
68Liam ArsenaultLW, 17. Undersized, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–90.56017%2%2%AHLer
69Carter FogartyRW, 18. Undersized, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–330.73−3%12%3%<1%Long shot?
70Simon-Xavier CyrC, 18. Rising, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–100.50+16%14%3%2%Long shot
71Paulo Gualberto Jr.LW, 17. Undersized, SteadyHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.00013%5%<1%Long shot
72Cole RenaudRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.42+17%9%4%2%Long shot?
73Félix LacerteRW, 20. Steady, HonestShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–621.39012%4%1%AHLer
74Adam KlausLW, 18. Steady, HonestCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–100.30+8%12%2%2%Long shot
75Jakob RoyerC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.27−11%8%4%2%Long shot?
76William YaredRW, 18. Heavy, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–90.33+4%13%2%<1%Long shot
77Éloi BénardC, 17. Steady, HonestSherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–100.30−13%11%2%2%Long shot
78Dmitry KubantsevRW, 18. Heavy, PlaymakerNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–131.00+1%9%3%<1%Long shot?
79Alex DagenaisRW, 17. Steady, HonestGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–90.11+12%11%2%2%Long shot
80Maxime SauthierC, 18. Rising, Volume shooterVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–121.42010%2%1%AHLer
81Jonathan OschganRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.64+44%9%3%<1%Long shot?
82Loic BrunetC, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–60.33+38%12%3%2%Long shot?
83Filip VlkLW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–550.25+44%11%3%3%Long shot
84Eliott BelzilC, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–80.38+44%12%3%<1%Long shot?
85Mateo NobertC, 19. Volume shooter, PlaymakerHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–81.25+7%10%3%1%Long shot
86Emrick Nolette-RobidouxRW, 17. Steady, HonestSherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–90.67−7%12%2%<1%Long shot?
87Benjamin OlivierC, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.92−13%12%2%<1%Long shot
88Deryk LemaireRW, 17. Rising, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.00−7%10%2%<1%Long shot
89Aaron ChippLW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–250.24+44%13%1%<1%Long shot?
90Matys St-GelaisLW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–100.10+44%11%3%<1%Long shot
91Alex MasséLW, 18. Rising, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–100.40−21%10%2%2%Long shot
92Anthony DontignyC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–260.23+44%10%3%1%Long shot?
93Drew MurphyLW, 17. Young for the league, SteadyCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–50.00+6%7%3%3%Long shot?
94Cameron HayeC, 17. Rising, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–120.25+4%10%4%<1%Long shot
95Ross CampbellRW, 20. Steady, HonestCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–511.31+2%10%3%<1%Long shot
96Caylen BlakeLW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–580.47+6%9%1%<1%AHLer
97Dérik MorinRW, 17. Carrying a team, Big frameDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–100.30+41%10%3%<1%Long shot?
98Olivier BoutinLW, 18. Steady, HonestSherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–230.13+13%8%4%<1%Long shot?
99Daniel WaltersC, 18. Edgy, SteadyHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–100.20+2%9%1%1%Long shot
100Tate CollinsC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–50.20+44%12%2%<1%Long shot?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.