GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
2Nicholas BogasD, 18. Rising, SteadyFlint FirebirdsOHLSTL#139, 202690.67+5%9%1%<1%Long shot
3Harris PangretitschD, 18. Playmaker, HeavySoo GreyhoundsOHLOTT#151, 2026670.21−7%8%<1%<1%Long shot
4Eric FrossardD, 18. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHLANA#146, 2026110.18−21%10%<1%<1%Long shot
5Rylan SinghD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyGuelph StormOHLSEA#198, 2026520.44+9%9%<1%<1%Long shot
6Finn KearnsD, 18. Edgy, HeavySudbury WolvesOHLSEA#131, 202650.00−19%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
7Jakub FibigrD, 20. Playmaker, SteadyWindsor SpitfiresOHLSEA#202, 2024560.71−14%7%<1%<1%Long shot
8Andre MondouxD, 19. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHLNYR#162, 2026120.58−12%8%<1%<1%Long shot
9Ty HenryD, 20. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHLCHI#163, 2024100.40+28%5%<1%<1%Long shot?
10Evan PassmoreD, 19. Carrying a team, EdgyBarrie ColtsOHLNYR#171, 2025110.18+44%3%<1%<1%Long shot
11Andrew MacNielD, 19. Carrying a team, SteadyKitchener RangersOHLMTL#189, 202570.14+15%3%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.