GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
2Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
3Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
4Carter SandersonL, 19. Edgy, HeavyCalgary HitmenWHLPIT#169, 202572.00012%2%<1%Long shot
5Noah KosickC, 18. Carrying a team, RisingSeattle ThunderbirdsWHLANA#192, 202681.25+26%9%5%1%Long shot
6Kayden LemireR, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamPrince George CougarsWHLMIN#112, 202650.60+32%8%<1%<1%AHLer
7Blake VanekR, 19. Edgy, HeavyCalgary HitmenWHLOTT#93, 202560.50−20%7%<1%<1%Long shot
8Hiroki GojsicR, 20. Steady, HonestKelowna RocketsWHLNSH#94, 2024550.75−8%8%<1%<1%Long shot
9Adam JechoC, 20. Playmaker, Big frameEdmonton Oil KingsWHLSTL#95, 2024470.77−14%5%<1%<1%Long shot
10Luke WilfleyC, 18. Rising, EdgyPortland WinterhawksWHLNJD#172, 202680.75+33%3%<1%<1%Long shot
11Brady TurkoR, 19. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHLANA#200, 2025110.36−8%2%<1%<1%Long shot
12Arvid DrottR, 19. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLFLA#192, 202580.38−8%2%<1%<1%Long shot?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.