Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Expected goals, COL–UTA
- 2.8–3.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- UTA share of xG
- 54.8%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–30
- COL–UTA
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Avalanche beat the Mammoth 4-2 while losing the expected-goals count 2.8 to 3.4. Dylan Guenther had two goals. Brock Nelson scored the winner. Martin Necas had one goal and one assist.
- Dylan GuentherTwo goals
Dylan Guenther had two goals. He has 27 goals this season. He played 19:26 and had three shots on goal. The Mammoth lost 4-2 to the Avalanche.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
COLUTA
0204060
COL 39UTA 47
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 86 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← COL shootingUTA shooting →
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Nelson C | 22:56 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.52 | 0 | 1 | 54 |
| Cale Makar D | 22:40 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 38 |
| Devon Toews D | 21:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 27 |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 19:13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 58 |
| Brent Burns D | 19:06 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 78 |
| Brett Kulak D | 19:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 58 |
| Martin Necas C | 18:33 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Josh Manson D | 17:50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 71 |
| Jack Drury C | 17:13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 16:35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 42 |
| Sam Malinski D | 16:11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 15:34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 38 |
| Parker Kelly C | 15:21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 66 |
| Ross Colton C | 11:48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 4 | 1 | 67 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 11:47 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 10:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 8:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 76 |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 6:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 74 |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 25:40 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 41 |
| Clayton Keller R | 22:36 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.56 | 0 | 2 | 67 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 22:13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 2 | 69 |
| Sean Durzi D | 19:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 40 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 19:26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| John Marino D | 18:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
| Logan Cooley C | 17:21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 17:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 47 |
| Ian Cole D | 16:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 42 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 16:44 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.68 | 2 | 1 | 66 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 15:56 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.64 | 1 | 1 | 70 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 14:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| Nick DeSimone D | 14:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| JJ Peterka R | 12:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Jack McBain C | 11:45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 11:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 11:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| Brandon Tanev L | 8:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.