Brock Nelson

Steady
Depth

Points, 2026–27: 7; 3 G, 4 A in 9 GP
Individual xG: 3.1; 3 goals from it
Ice time per game: 18:37; 18 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5: 52.2; share of chances while he's on

Brock Nelson has 3 goals and 4 assists (7 points) in 9 games for the Colorado Avalanche in 2026–27, with 18 shots on goal and 18:37 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2026–27 is 63.3 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

9 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

Rated above 48% of forwards

Goals above average: +0.4
Wins: +0.06

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to +0.15, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 47.5% of 402 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

Physicality38%GF38%Intimidation11%Chemistry13%Clutch0%

Chemistry

−0.24 SD · 79th percentile · weight 13% · +0.1 goals

How much his linemates' attack improves with him, measured teammate by teammate (with or without you), at 5-on-5.

Linemates' xGF liftper 60Teammates' expected goals per 60 with him minus without him, weighted by shared time.0.0279th pct
Shared minutes measuredminutesHow much evidence the chemistry number rests on.6480th pct

Percentiles are against 402 rated forwards in 2026-27, on 126 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

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<a href="https://www.gritandgf.com/players/8475754"><img src="https://www.gritandgf.com/grit/card/8475754.png" alt="Brock Nelson's Grit &amp; GF card (Grit &amp; GF)" width="600" height="315" style="max-width:100%;height:auto"></a>

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Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

vs LAK
Wednesday, September 30
Big night
Three points for Brock Nelson: one goal and two assists. He has 1 goal this season. He played 19:14 and had one shot on goal. It finished 8-4 for the Avalanche.
at WSH
Sunday, March 22
Overtime winner
Brock Nelson won it in overtime. That was his 32nd goal of the season. He played 20:13 and had two shots on goal. It finished 3-2 for the Avalanche in overtime.
vs DAL
Wednesday, March 18
Ice time
Brock Nelson played 27:27, about 8 minutes more than his average this season. He has 55 points in 67 games this season. The Avalanche lost 2-1 to the Stars in a shootout.
at SEA
Thursday, March 12
Volume
Brock Nelson had 11 shot attempts. Four reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 4.0 attempts a game. The Avalanche beat the Kraken 5-1.
at TOR
Sunday, January 25
Hat trick
Hat trick for Brock Nelson. His goal stood up as the winner. His 2.7 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Avalanche beat the Maple Leafs 4-1.
vs OTT
Thursday, January 8
Big night
Brock Nelson had three points, two goals and one assist. That makes 7 straight games with a point. He has 21 goals this season. It finished 8-2 for the Avalanche.
at TBL
Tuesday, January 6
Streak
Brock Nelson has a point in 6 straight games. That was his 19th goal of the season. He played 22:14 and had four shots on goal. The Avalanche lost 4-2 to the Lightning.
at FLA
Sunday, January 4
Streak
Brock Nelson has a point in 5 straight games. He played 25:15, about 6 minutes over his average. The Avalanche lost 2-1 to the Panthers.

Player card

Percentile among 378 forwards with enough games this season. 50 is the median.

Scoring

Ice time per game18:37
82
Points per 602.51
71
Goals per 601.07
68
Individual xG per 601.11
75
Shots per 606.4
55

5-on-5 play

xG for per 60, on ice2.54
54
xG against per 60, on ice2.33
58
xGF%52.2%
60

Physical

Hits per 601.4
16
Blocks per 602.9
67
Penalty minutes per 600.7
73

Skating and shooting

NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, 2026–27. Percentiles are the league's, against all skaters.

Skating

Top speed22.9 mph
93
Bursts over 20 mph13
63
Distance skated28 mi
90

Shooting

Hardest shot81.4 mph
58
Shots on goal18
79
Shooting %16.7%
68

Zone time

Offensive zone time40.1%
29
Offensive zone time, even strength40.3%
38

Who he plays with

His most-used linemates at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

Linemates	Games	TOI	Shot attempts	xG	Goals	xG share
Nazem Kadri, Gabriel Landeskog	8	55:15	53–60	2.7–2.4	3–0	52%
Gabriel Landeskog, Martin Necas	9	26:52	20–22	0.6–0.7	1–2	46%
Gabriel Landeskog, Artturi Lehkonen	7	6:51	6–12	0.1–0.8	0–1	14%
Parker Kelly, Gavin Brindley	3	4:16	10–1	0.3–0.0	0–0	92%
Nazem Kadri, Artturi Lehkonen	7	3:40	7–2	0.5–0.1	1–0	78%
Jaden Schwartz, T.J. Hughes	8	3:29	3–2	0.4–0.1	0–0	72%
Artturi Lehkonen, Martin Necas	9	2:57	1–0	0.0–0.0	0–0	100%
Martin Necas, Parker Kelly	4	2:17	3–2	0.0–0.0	0–0	100%

Where he shoots from

His unblocked shots this season, attacking right. 3 goals from 25 attempts.

GoalShot or miss

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal

0.000.501.001.50

04-2310-19

By season

Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	ixG	TOI/GP	Hits	Blk	xGF% 5v5
2026–27	9	3	4	7	18	3.1	18:37	4	8	52.2
2025–26	81	33	32	65	186	30.2	19:39	38	78	59.2
2024–25	80	26	30	56	193	22.6	18:55	35	50	50.3
2023–24	82	34	35	69	250	27.8	18:05	38	53	49.9

Last 20 games

Date	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	PIM
2026-10-19	18:46	0	0	3	0.38	0	1	0
2026-10-16	20:27	0	1	1	1.08	1	1	0
2026-10-14	23:02	1	0	2	0.30	0	0	0
2026-10-13	19:39	0	0	5	0.52	0	3	0
2026-10-10	17:47	1	0	4	0.54	0	0	0
2026-10-08	15:35	0	1	1	0.04	2	0	0
2026-10-07	16:50	0	0	0	0.04	1	2	2
2026-10-03	16:11	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0
2026-09-30	19:14	1	2	1	0.11	0	0	0
2026-05-26	19:18	0	0	3	0.36	1	1	0
2026-05-24	19:02	0	0	0	0.25	1	1	2
2026-05-22	18:06	0	0	1	0.21	1	2	0
2026-05-20	18:15	0	0	4	0.32	1	1	0
2026-05-13	16:17	0	0	0	0.15	2	1	0
2026-05-11	17:00	1	0	3	1.09	0	0	0
2026-05-09	19:52	0	0	3	0.33	0	1	0
2026-05-05	18:42	0	1	0	0.02	2	0	4
2026-05-03	17:16	0	0	4	0.40	1	1	0
2026-04-26	14:52	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2
2026-04-23	17:52	1	0	2	0.93	2	1	0