Saturday, March 7, 2026
- Expected goals, CAR–CGY
- 3.2–2.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- CGY share of xG
- 43.1%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 29–25
- CAR–CGY
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Flames beat the Hurricanes 5-4 while losing the expected-goals count 2.4 to 3.2. Three points for Sebastian Aho: three assists. Morgan Frost had three points, one goal and two assists.
- Sebastian AhoBig night
Three points for Sebastian Aho: three assists. He has 65 points in 63 games this season. He played 18:20 and had one shot on goal. The Hurricanes lost 5-4 to the Flames.
- Morgan FrostBig night
Morgan Frost had three points, one goal and two assists. He also had 7 shot attempts against an average of 3.1. It finished 5-4 for the Flames.
- Joel FarabeeBig night
Three points for Joel Farabee: two goals and one assist. His goal with under five minutes left was the winner. The Flames beat the Hurricanes 5-4.
- Seth JarvisBig night
Seth Jarvis had three points, one goal and two assists. That was his 27th goal of the season. The Hurricanes fell 5-4 to the Flames.
- Olli MaattaIce time
Olli Maatta played 23:54, about 12 minutes more than his average this season. He has 2 points in 23 games this season. The Flames beat the Hurricanes 5-4.
- Brandon BussiRough night
Brandon Bussi allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.4 expected goals. That is 2.6 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Hurricanes fell 5-4 to the Flames.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
9 goals from 80 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller D | 23:51 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 51 |
| Sean Walker D | 23:22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 53 |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 22:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Jalen Chatfield D | 21:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 56 |
| Seth Jarvis C | 19:29 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 78 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 18:20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 18:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Jackson Blake R | 16:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Alexander Nikishin D | 16:45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 68 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 16:01 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Jordan Staal C | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Taylor Hall L | 14:47 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 52 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 14:40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Jordan Martinook L | 12:28 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
| Eric Robinson L | 10:33 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Mark Jankowski L | 10:31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 100 |
| William Carrier L | 10:11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 4 | 0 | 100 |
| Mike Reilly D | 9:30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Calgary Flames
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Bahl D | 25:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Olli Maatta D | 23:54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 5 | 60 |
| Yan Kuznetsov D | 21:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 54 |
| Brayden Pachal D | 20:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 56 |
| Zayne Parekh D | 19:02 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
| Joel Farabee L | 18:30 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.61 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Mikael Backlund C | 18:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| Blake Coleman L | 17:50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 63 |
| Matt Coronato R | 17:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Morgan Frost C | 17:05 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 1 | 71 |
| Connor Zary C | 15:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Ryan Strome C | 15:07 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 60 |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 13:18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 11 |
| Martin Pospisil C | 12:10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 3 | 0 | 56 |
| John Beecher C | 12:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Adam Klapka R | 10:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| Ryan Lomberg L | 10:47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | 42 |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 6:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute