Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Final (SO)
- Expected goals, PIT–CAR
- 4.4–5.8
- all situations, empty nets out
- CAR share of xG
- 56.9%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 28–44
- PIT–CAR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Hurricanes beat the Penguins 5-4 in a shootout, and the chances agreed: 5.8 expected goals to 4.3. Seth Jarvis had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Three points for Bryan Rust: two goals and one assist. The Hurricanes outshot the Penguins 44-28.
- Seth JarvisVolume
Seth Jarvis had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Nine got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 5.0 attempts a game. It finished 5-4 for the Hurricanes in a shootout.
- Bryan RustBig night
Three points for Bryan Rust: two goals and one assist. That was his 23rd goal of the season. The Penguins lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.
- Stuart SkinnerBusy night
Stuart Skinner made 40 saves on 44 shots. That was 1.8 goals better than an average goalie would do against the same chances. The Penguins fell 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.
- Egor ChinakhovIce time
Egor Chinakhov played 22:26, about 10 minutes more than his average this season. He has 25 points in 55 games this season. The Penguins fell 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.
- Sebastian AhoVolume
Sebastian Aho had 9 shot attempts. Five reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 4.9. The Hurricanes beat the Penguins 5-4 in a shootout.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
8 goals from 116 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson D | 28:01 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 74 |
| Bryan Rust R | 23:14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 22:26 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Kris Letang D | 22:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| Rickard Rakell R | 20:51 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 43 |
| Ryan Shea D | 20:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 26 |
| Tommy Novak C | 18:35 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 18:10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 62 |
| Connor Clifton D | 16:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 27 |
| Noel Acciari C | 15:24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 0 | 44 |
| Anthony Mantha R | 14:23 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Ben Kindel C | 13:47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 40 |
| Connor Dewar C | 12:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| Elmer Soderblom L | 12:23 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | 0 | 1 | 43 |
| Ville Koivunen R | 10:37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Avery Hayes R | 9:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 3 | 1 | 47 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller D | 24:01 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 4 | 45 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 22:07 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.77 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 22:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 79 |
| Jalen Chatfield D | 20:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 76 |
| Seth Jarvis C | 20:45 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1.45 | 2 | 0 | 62 |
| Sean Walker D | 20:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 44 |
| Alexander Nikishin D | 19:49 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 65 |
| Jordan Staal C | 18:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
| Jordan Martinook L | 17:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 50 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 17:45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:18 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.54 | 2 | 0 | 46 |
| Jackson Blake R | 15:14 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Taylor Hall L | 14:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 64 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 13:54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Mike Reilly D | 12:11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 61 |
| Mark Jankowski L | 10:46 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
| William Carrier L | 10:01 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 0 | 55 |
| Eric Robinson L | 8:49 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | 5 | 0 | 64 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute