GRIT & GF

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins

Carolina Hurricanes

Final (SO)

Expected goals, PIT–CAR
4.4–5.8
all situations, empty nets out
CAR share of xG
56.9%
50% is even
Shots on goal
28–44
PIT–CAR
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Hurricanes beat the Penguins 5-4 in a shootout, and the chances agreed: 5.8 expected goals to 4.3. Seth Jarvis had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Three points for Bryan Rust: two goals and one assist. The Hurricanes outshot the Penguins 44-28.

  • Seth Jarvis had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Nine got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 5.0 attempts a game. It finished 5-4 for the Hurricanes in a shootout.

  • Bryan RustBig night

    Three points for Bryan Rust: two goals and one assist. That was his 23rd goal of the season. The Penguins lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.

  • Stuart SkinnerBusy night

    Stuart Skinner made 40 saves on 44 shots. That was 1.8 goals better than an average goalie would do against the same chances. The Penguins fell 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.

  • Egor Chinakhov played 22:26, about 10 minutes more than his average this season. He has 25 points in 55 games this season. The Penguins fell 5-4 to the Hurricanes in a shootout.

  • Sebastian Aho had 9 shot attempts. Five reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 4.9. The Hurricanes beat the Penguins 5-4 in a shootout.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

PITCAR

Where the shots came from

8 goals from 116 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← PIT shootingCAR shooting →

Pittsburgh Penguins

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Erik Karlsson D28:010220.221274
Bryan Rust R23:142130.520032
Egor Chinakhov R22:260240.531130
Kris Letang D22:140010.001315
Rickard Rakell R20:510100.301043
Ryan Shea D20:430010.030326
Tommy Novak C18:350050.650050
Parker Wotherspoon D18:100010.022262
Connor Clifton D16:000000.021227
Noel Acciari C15:241020.671044
Anthony Mantha R14:231030.190250
Blake Lizotte C14:120000.030224
Ilya Solovyov D14:010000.090029
Ben Kindel C13:470010.050140
Connor Dewar C12:580000.005129
Elmer Soderblom L12:230040.640143
Ville Koivunen R10:370110.250035
Avery Hayes R9:240000.193147

Carolina Hurricanes

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
K'Andre Miller D24:010020.092445
Sebastian Aho C22:070150.772069
Jaccob Slavin D22:000010.030279
Jalen Chatfield D20:510020.032176
Seth Jarvis C20:451091.452062
Sean Walker D20:380010.031244
Alexander Nikishin D19:491120.282065
Jordan Staal C18:070000.001152
Jordan Martinook L17:470020.321150
Andrei Svechnikov R17:450100.001064
Nikolaj Ehlers L17:180140.542046
Jackson Blake R15:140161.000164
Taylor Hall L14:050000.002064
Logan Stankoven C13:541020.240164
Mike Reilly D12:110110.151161
Mark Jankowski L10:461030.301152
William Carrier L10:010110.173055
Eric Robinson L8:490030.425064

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.